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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 10/27 11:48
Cattle Hit Expanded Limits
It's been an utterly devastating morning for the cattle complex as both the
live cattle and feeder cattle contracts have already reached their expanded
limits.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
It's been an utterly miserable Monday morning for the cattle complex as both
the live cattle and feeder cattle markets have hit their expanded trading
limits. They continue to be pressured by the market's anxiousness from last
week's developments and fearing that more negative news could develop. New
showlists appear to be mixed, higher in Kansas and Texas, but lower in
Nebraska/Colorado. December corn is up 8 cents per bushel and December soybean
meal is up $4.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 240.96 points and
NASDAQ is up 378.73 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
It's completely fair to say, "it's been a miserable day," before the clock
hits noon CDT, when both the live cattle and feeder cattle contracts are
trading at their expanded limits. December live cattle are down $10.75 at
$223.17, February live cattle are down $10.75 at $222.67 and April live cattle
are down $10.75 at $222.00. Upon searching for a reason as to "why" the market
was suffering so severely this morning, unfortunately there's no new tangible
reason why the market is enduring such catastrophic losses. Instead, the market
continues to be pressured by the chaos that's been endured over the last two
weeks between President Trump stating that he'd like to see beef prices
lowered, talked about increased imports from Argentina and the technical
pandemonium that's ensued ever since.
Last week, Northern dressed cattle traded at mostly $370, which is $2.00
lower than the previous week's weighted average. Southern live cattle traded at
mostly $238, which is $2.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $1.64 ($377.40) and select up $5.29
($363.26) with a movement of 59 loads (44.83 loads of choice, 4.46 loads of
select, 5.42 loads of trim and 4.11 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
It's another gut-wrenching day for the feeder cattle complex as the market
continues to sink unnervingly lower, already hitting its expanded limit for the
day. November feeders are down $13.75 at $338.45, January feeders are down
$13.75 at $334.42 and March feeders are down $13.75 at $331.30. Unfortunately,
the spot November feeder cattle contract is nearly hitting its 100-day moving
average, which could trigger even more technical pressure.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog complex is also trading slightly lower into Monday's noon hour,
feeling unsupported by the market's fundamentals. December lean hogs are down
$0.27 at $81.62, February lean hogs are down $0.70 at $83.60 and April lean
hogs are down $0.72 at $88.22. Until consumer support improves, it's unlikely
that the market will see much more upside potential from a technical sense.
The projected lean hog index for 10/24/2025 is down $0.68 at $92.27, and the
actual index for 10/23/2025 is down $0.68 at $92.95. Hog prices are unavailable
on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report because of confidentiality. However, we
can see that only 165 head have traded, and the market's five-day rolling
average now sits at $88.93. Pork cutouts totaled 193.76 loads with 163.12 loads
of pork cuts and 30.65 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: down $1.34, $101.40.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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